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§735 Presidents Loubet and Fallières; Balkan affairs (1899-1913): VIII-93.

VIII-93 (§735):

Just for seven months one shall hold the presidency
On his resigning office shall be born a great division:
For seven months another shall maintain the power
Near Venice shall reappear peace and union.

(Sept moys sans plus obtiendra prelature
Par son deces grand scisme fera naistre:
Sept moys tiendra un autre la preture
Pres de Venise paix union renaistre.
)

NOTES: Prelature: « Prédominance (Predominance). Rang élevé (elevated rank). (Antiq.) Dignité de prêtre, de grand prêtre, de pontife (Dignity of priest, of great priest, of pontiff). Pontificat (Pontificate).» (Huguet)

Preture
: From the Latin « praetor, ōris, m. [praeeō], one who goes before or first; hence a leader, chief, president. At Rome: orig. the name of the chief magistrate of the Roman republic.» (Smith-Lockwood)

Deces
: « Decez. Départ (Departure).» (Huguet), from the Latin « dēcēdō, to move down duly, withdraw, retire, ‘clear out’ (with idea of making way for another).»
(Smith-Lockwood).

Scisme
: « Scisme, v. Schisme.»; « Schisme, Division. On écrit aussi scisme et cisme (Alternative orthographies are scisme and cisme).» 
(Huguet)

Moys (Months)
: « By the words YEAR, MONTH, WEEK, the prophets sometimes want to say simply units of time, which they play to confound, in order to augment the obscurity (Apocalypse, XI. 2, 3, 9, 11, etc.).» (Vignois, 1910, p.454); Cf. §589, V-90: « And the whole peninsula shall hold nine months.»; Nine months: may be understood as nine years, as the other examples in Nostradamus suggest it. In fact, the quatrain VIII-93 twice says « seven months », which is the term of office of the presidency of the third French republic, namely seven years (septennate). It refers to President Loubet (1899-1906) and President Fallières (1906-1913), who are designated with the dictions « prelature » and « preture », both originally meaning « posted in front » (he who sits before = who presides = president) (Vignois, 1910, p.454). We have another example in the quatrain V-18, where it is depicted that the wall of Paris, besieged by Henry IV, shall fall on the seventh day, namely in the seventh year after its denial of the king of France in 1588. In reality, Paris occupied by the League shut out the king Henri III in 1588 and for the first time thereafter opened the gates to the king Henri IV, direct allied successor to Henri III, in 1594, which lapse of time the French used to count as seven years, starting with 1588 which is the first year and finishing with 1594 that is the seventh and last. And the quatrain VII-15 (§212) will literally say about this siege of Paris: « For seven years the siege shall be laid in front of the city in the hands of the League under the controle of the master of the Milanese, i.e. Philip II: The greatest king shall make his entry into it. The city, then, free from his enemies.» And an encyclopedia of world history, particularly concerned with historical dating, describes as follows: «The independence war of Greece: 1821-1829» (Ploetz, p.1080), which means nine years in the French fashion.

Just for seven months one shall hold the presidency On his resigning office shall be born a great division: For seven months another shall maintain the power: « The mandate of Mr. Fallières (February 1906). Mr. Loubet, elected President of the [French] Republic on February 18th, 1899, for a term of seven years, accomplished his mandate a few days after having sanctioned the law of separation of the Church and the State. Mr. Fallières, elected on January 17th [,1906] to take the place of Mr. Loubet, took possession of his charge on February 18th; and as far as one can interprete the Centuries beforehand, it seems probable that he will conserve his high function during the same lapse of time.» (Vignois, id.).

« 1873 May: 24th, L. A. Thiers falls and M. MacMahon is elected French president. Oct: 27th, Comte de Chambord ends hope of restoration of French monarchy by refusing to accept tricolour. Nov: 20th, French monarchists confer M. MacMahon with presidential powers for seven years.» (Williams, 1968, p.290); Cf. §707-§712 (V-36, VI-35, X-57, VI-53, IX-15 and VI-54).
« 1899 Feb: 18th, Émile Loubet is elected President of France (-1906), following Félix Faure’s death.» (id., p.386).
« 1905 Dec: 9th, separation of Church and State in France [On his resigning office shall be born a great division]; complete liberty of conscience.» (id., p.412); « 1905 December 9th Separation of the Churches and of the State: end of the regime of the 1801 Concordat, suppression of the ministry of Worship and of the retribution of the clergy by the State.» (Jouette, p.186).
« 1906 January 17th Armand Fallières is elected President of the Republic.» (id.).
« 1913 January 17th Raymond Poincaré is elected President of the Republic.» (id., p.194).

Near Venice shall reappear union: « The Balkan States [Near Venice] (to 1908) Greece: the National Assembly chose 1863-1913 G
EORGE I (Glücksburg dynasty), ‘King of the Hellenes’ (as to the Greek Independence War (1821-1829), cf. §588, IX-91; §589, V-90; §590, VI-55). After the 1863 British hand-over of the Ionian Islands, the Enosis movement (union of all Greeks) took precedence over attempts at economic development. An uprising on Crete failed (1866). After the acquisition of Thessaly (1881), Macedonia became the object of dispute between Greece and Bulgaria. A 2nd uprising on Crete led to the 1897 Greco-Turkish War with Greek defeats in Thessaly. Nevertheless, Crete gained political autonomy under Turkish sovereignty because of the interference of the great powers. The leader of Enosis, Venizelos (1864-1936), proclaimed the annexation of Crete in 1905. 1908 Formal union of Crete and Greece.» (PenguinAtlas 2, p.81). « Sep. 1908 Union of Crete with Greece. As leader of the Liberal party, VENIZELOS gave momentum to the ‘Greater Greece Movement’.» (id., p.121).

Near Venice shall reappear peace: « The Balkan Crises [Near Venice] (1908-13) The decay of the Ottoman Empire and the far-reaching national ambitions of the new national states with their manifold ethnic, cultural and religious divisions (causing minorities and ‘irredenta’ problems), kept the Balkans in constant unrest. It became the high-tension area of world politics, directly (Austria-Hungary, Italy, Russia) or indirectly (Germany, France, Britain) involving the great powers.
1912-13 Crisis in the Balkans. Unrest in Albania; internal upheavals and weakning of the Turkish position because of the 1911-12 Tripoli War with Italy caused Serbia and Bulgaria to join forces. Encouraged by Russian diplomacy, the 2 states joined in the Mar. 1912 1st Balkan League (directed against Austrian expansion in case of the expected partition of European Turkey). Greece and Montenegro joined the alliance.
Oct. 1912 1st Balkan War: the 4 members of the alliance declared war on Turkey. Severe defeats of the Turks at Kirk Kilisse, Lüleburgaz and near Adrianople (by Bulgaria), at Kumanovo (by Serbia). In consequence, a critical international situation developed: supported by Russia, Serbia demanded access to the Adriatic; Italy opposed this. Italy wished to annex Albania and called for the renewal of the Triple Alliance [Germany, Austria-Hungary and Italy]; Greece protested against the occupation of the Dodecanese by Italy (1912). Austia-Hungary objected to any kind of increased power for Serbia or Italy while it backed Bulgaria. Russia, concerned for the last of her Balkan allies and for her policies towards the Straits, looked with apprehension at the pressure exerted by Bulgaria on Serbia and Turkey. At the December London Conference of Ambassadors Gernany and Britain jointly endeavoured to bring about the May 1913 Peace of London: cession of all Turkish territories west of the Enos-Midia line and of all Aegean islands. During the conflicts over the spoils, Bulgaria, overestimating her strength, attacked Serbia.» (
PenguinAtlas 2, p.121).

« June 1913 2nd Balkan War: the intervention of Roumania, Greece, Montenegro and Turkey on the side of Serbia confused the situation completely. Relations between Austria-Hungary and Roumania (already burdened by the presence of a Roumanian minority in Transylvania) cooled because of Austria’s threat to interfere to save Bulgaria; Germany and Italy, however, prevented her from doing so.
August 1913 Peace of Bucharest [shall reappear peace]: Bulgaria lost Macedonia and Dobruja; Crete finally united with Greece; Albania became an autonomous principality.
Consequences: overall disappointment, especially in Serbia, which had been prevented by Austria from reaching the Adriatic Sea. Prevailing friendships and alliances were reinforced; the situation in the Balkans, the ‘powder-keg’ of Europe, remained unstable, and in the July Crisis of 1914, ignited the 1st World War.» (
id.).

Discussion:
There are four cases of the two consecutive 7 year term presidencies completed respectively by 2 different persons in France during the period: 1555-2002 as follows:
1° Loubet-Fallières: 1899-1906-1913.
2° Fallières-Poincaré: 1906-1913-1920.
3° Giscard d’Estaing-Mitterrand: 1974-1981-1988.
4° Mitterrand-Chirac: 1988-1995-2002.

Of these only the first is valid as to the predictions of a great division and of recovery of peace and union by this quatrain. Therefore, the interpretation of the 2nd and 4th verses of the quatrain by P. Guinard recommending the case 2° (2011, p.152) doesn’t ameliorate that of Vignois, for the text: « a great division » is more applicable to the SEPARATION of Church and State than to ‘the 1st World War’, and the term: « union » more precise for ENOSIS of the Greek than for ‘Italian territorial recovery of South Tyrol, Istria and Triest’.
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© Koji Nihei Daijyo, 2017. All rights reserved.
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§736 The Great War in Turkey (1896-1916): V-54.

V-54 (§736):

Of the Black Sea and the grand Tartary,
There shall be a king who shall visit France:
Transpierce Alany and Armenia,
And into Byzantium shall dart bloody pikes.

(Du pont Euxine, & la grand Tartarie,
Un roy sera qui viendra voir la Gaule:
Transpercera Alane & l'Armenie,
Et dans Bisance lairra sanglante Gaule.
)

NOTES: M. Dufresne (1995, p.174-175) gives us a nearly perfect explication of the quatrain. We only support it in citing pertinent sources.

Le pont Euxine
: In Greek ὁ πóντος Εὒξεινος (ho pontos Euxeinos, the Charitable Sea). « PONT-EUXIN, anc. geog.; a name the ancients gave by antiphrasis to the Black Sea [ὁ Ἄξεινος, ho Axeinos, the Uncharitable (Sea)].» (Bescherelle).

Grand Tartary
: = East Russia, for the name of Tartars « was originally given to all the peoples included between the Caspian Sea and the Sea of China» (Bescherelle) and the East of Russian Empire at the end of the 19th century and in the beginning of the 20th century covers the whole territory in question.

A king of the Black Sea and the grand Tartary: = The Emperor of Russia, the Black Sea and the grand Tartary representing respectively European Russia and East Russia.

Alany
: = in Greek « Àλανία (Alania), pays des Alains (country of the Alans).» (Pillon); « ALAINS, anc. geog.; nomadic peoples of Asian Sarmatia, settled near Palus-Meotide [the Sea of Azov], in the regions adjacent to Caucasus.» (Bescherelle).

Of the Black Sea and the grand Tartary, There shall be a king who shall visit France: = There shall be a king of the Black Sea and the grand Tartary who shall visit France: « 1891 Aug: 27th, Franco-Russian entente.» (Williams, 1968, p.356); « ... the Franco-Russian alliance unveiled publicly by the resounding manifestations: Czar and Czarina’s visit to France in 1896, accompanied by feasts, receptions, a solemn review of the troops, the President of the Republic’s visit to Russia in 1897.» (Seignobos, 1921c, p.307); « 1901 September Nicolas II’s visit to France. A grand review in Betheny (Marne).» (Jouette, p.182); « 1901 Sep: Visit of Russian Emperor to France provokes anti-militarist demosnstrations.» (Williams, 1968, p.396); « The Franco-Russian Entente was augmented, in April 1904, by a new agreement between France and Britain, which ended centuries of mutual hostility and distrust. King Edward VII (‘Edward the Peacemaker’) had broken the ice in Paris, paving the way for an Entente Cordiale. Russia was no longer seen as a serious threat to the Indian Empire, indeed, having just been defeated by Japan, she was temporarily a broken reed, while Germany was now viewed as Britain’s major rival and threat. France, needing to look elsewhere for support, turned to Britain. The Entente Cordiale developed into the Triple Entente, incorporating the Franco-Russian and a new Anglo-Russian Entente.» (Chasseaud, 2013, p.22); « 1907 Aug: 31st, Anglo-Russian Convention on Persia, Afghanistan and Tibet is signed, aligning Russia with Britain and France against the Central Powers.» (Williams, 1968, p.418).

[Who shall] transpierce Alany and Armenia: « The Caucasus: Turkey and Russia, having been brought into conflict by Russia’s inexorable expansion to the south, had fought three wars since 1828. The Caucasus, that great and mountainous land bridge between the Black Sea on the west and the Caspian on the east, was home to different ethnic and religious populations that included Armenians, Geogians and Tartars. Russia had supported, as a defensive measure, nationalist movements in the Balkans and also in the Caucasus. This antagonized the Turks who, in 1914, had just recovered from the Second Balkan War. Within the Ottoman Empire, the new doctrine of pan-Turkism, which strengthened after Turkey’s loss of outlying territories during the Balkan Wars – notably Libya and the Dodecanese Islands to Italy and parts of Macedonia and Thrace to Greece – increased the attraction to Turkey of the Caucasus. A Turkish attack on Russia here would pin down a Russian army and could be accompanied by its claim to be freeing Turkic people from Russian oppression, and also by its cry of jihad - holy war. Enver Pasha, Commander of the Ottoman forces, committed his third Army to a wide, enveloping movement through the mountains at Sarikamish, rather than the more methodical operations favoured by his German staff officer. Enver’s sweep to the left (north), on the axis of Ardahan, took his troops sixty miles further on through hideously difficult terrain and winter conditions, at temperatures sometimes below – 30°C. This disastrous manoevre saw Turkish supplies exhausted on 25 December 1914, and their army virtually destroyed. The Russians successfully counter-attacked, having held Sarikamish in the battle of 1–4 January. Turkish casualties were between 75,000 and 90,000; most of their force. By 23 January 1915 this only numbered some 12,000 bayonets, with another 8,000 in supporting services. Even now Enver attempted to advance eastwards towards Persian Azerbaijan and Tabriz to encourage the Kurds to stage un uprising against the Russians. This failed. The Russian 1915 spring offensive aimed south from Kars to the west of Lake Van, in an area of eastern Anatolia partly-populated by Christian Armenians. Antagonism between Muslim Turks and the Armenians had grown in the late nineteenth century, culminating in violent clashes in 1894-6. As the Armenians were supported by the Russians, who in 1914 had encouraged revolt, the Turks suspected treason. Murders of Armenians, with looting and destruction of their villages, by Turkish soldiers, began during the winter. In April 1915, during the Russian advance, an Armenian revolt began in Van. Atrocities by Turks and Kurds followed, and at the end of May the deportation of Armenians south to Syria and Mosul was began. About a million dies, either from direct acts of violence or from exhaustion, exposure and disease. By August 1916, the Russians had pushed as far west as Trebizond and south to Lake Van, thus creating a large bridgehead in eastern Anatolia. The Caucasus came to prominence again following the 1917 Russian Revolutions, when the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk committed Russia to supplying German with oil from Baku, on the Caspian side of the Caucasus, and cotton from Turkestan. The weakening of Russia in the region, consequent upon the revolutions and military incapacity, encouraged the Turks to advance towards Baku. In early 1918 operation Thunderbolt saw the German forces that had moved into easten Ukraine and the Donetz Basin advancing southeast to Baku. The British were also increasing their presence in the region, following their advance to Mosul and the creation of ‘Dunsterforce’ in Persia. Named after its commander General Dunsterville, this was a British military mission of, initially, less than a thousand men, with armoured cars. It was formed after the Russian Revolution had led to the collapse of the Caucasus front to gather intelligence, train and lead tribal militias, and counter German propaganda in Persia.» (Chasseaud, 2013, p.91-93).

Lairra:
Future of laissier = laisser (to let), lâcher (to release) (cf. Daele).

Sanglante Gaule:
= Sanglante gaule (bloody pike), a proper name « Gaule » being, according to some of the figures of Nostradamus, for a common name « gaule » like ‘[the] Rousseau’ for ‘a person with red hair’ (§326, I-7), or inversely a common name ‘senez’ for a proper name ‘Senez’ (§326, I-7); « gaule f. Long thin pole (or) stick, fishing rod, small flag-staff.» (Dubois).

And into Byzantium shall dart bloody pikes:
= And [his allies Britain and France] shall dart bloody pikes into Byzantium: « The Gallipoli campaign was fought to support Russia and knock Turkey out of the war.» (Chasseaud, 2013, p.58); « “... across the ridges of the Gallipoli Peninsula lie some of the shortest paths to a triumphant peace.” (Winston Churchill, First Lord of the Admiralty, urging the case for a renewed offensive at Gallipoli, 5 June 1915.) Seeking an alternative to the costly stalemate on the Western Front, Britain and France devised a plan to crush Germany’s ally Turkey. British and French warships were to sail through the Dardanelles Straits into the Sea of Marmara, bringing the Turkish capital, Constantinople, under their guns [into Byzantium shall dart bloody pikes]. When the naval attack was made on 18 March, however, three battleships were sunk and consequently it was decided that the Dardanelles Straits should be seized before the navy could pass through. Allied Forces landed at Gallipoli on 25 April, including a large contingent of the Australian and New Zealand Army Corps [ANZAC]. Faced with tough Turkish resistance on difficult terrain, they failed to break out of their landing zones. Renewed landings at Suvla Bay in August achieved no greater success. Trench warfare, similar to that in France but with conditions exacerbated by heat and disease, quickly developed. By the time the operation was abandoned in January 1916, the Allied forces had suffered almost a quarter of a million casualties. Success at Gallipoli was a boost to Turkish morale, which was much needed after the Turkish Third Army had been virtually destroyed fighting the Russians in the Caucasus earlier in the year.» (
DKHistory, p.343).
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© Koji Nihei Daijyo, 2017. All rights reserved.

§737 Before and after the Great War in the Balkans (1889-1919): X-63.

X-63 (§737):

Cydonia, Ragusa, the city of saint Jerome,
The medical help shall remake green,
Death of a son of a king by the death of two herons,
The Arabe Hungary shall make common cause.

(Cydron, Raguse, la cité au saint Hieron,
Reverdira le medicant secours,
Mort filz de roy par mort de deux heron,
L'Arabe Ongrie feront un mesme cours.
)

NOTES: J. Guernon (2000, p.156-157), being not fully convinced of himself, gives us the theme of the quatrain as the events that started the First World War. We will develop it in full scope.

Cydron: An anagrammatic enigma of Cydon = Cydonia (modern Canea): « Kυδωνία (Kydōnia), Cydonia, city of the northern coast of Crete.» (Pillon). The word Cydron itself seems to refer to the Greek κυδρόν (kūdron, glorious, renowned) (cf. Liddell & Scott).

Raguse: « Ragusa. See Dubrovnik.», « Dubrovnik. Town and port, southern Croatia.» (as of 1997) (Room); « RAGUSE, cercle of the Austrian States, Dalmatia, isolated from the rest of this State, between European Turkey to the North and to the East, and the Adriatic. Capital, Raguse.» [as of 1863] (Bescherelle).

The city of saint Jerome
: = Stridon = « STRIDONIA, anc. geog.; city of Upper Pannonia, upon the river of Mura. Home country of saint Jerome.» (Bescherelle). The conditions of ‘Upper Pannonia, upon the river of Mura’ designate the area of the city of Stridon as in eastern Slovenia or in northern Croatia (cf. Duby, p.201, Chart C. Formation of Yugoslavia. The Mura is running parallel with the Drava (Drave) north of it to join it.)

Reverdir: = « Rendre vert de nouveau.» (Petit Robert).

Medicant: = Healing, curing, from the Latin « medeor, to heal, cure.» (Smith-Lockwood); « Medicatif. Portant remède (Bringing a remedy).» (Huguet)


Cydonia, Ragusa, the city of saint Jerome, The medical help shall remake green: = The medical help shall remake Cydonia, Ragusa, the city of saint Jerome green: The Powers of the Triple Entente (Britain, France and Russia) shall help the Balkans stand on their own feet liberated from the foreign occupation:

1° Crete [Cydonia] is refreshed by the unification with Greece in 1908 after having been autonomous in 1898, which finishes her liberation from the long Turkish occupation, the independence of Greece itself from the Turkish rule in 1830 having been effected with their military aid: « ... the Great Powers intervened to establish a Greek Kingdom [The medical help shall remake ... green]...» (Palmer, p.119); « 1830 Feb: 3rd, at London Conference, Greece is declared independent under the protection of France, Russia and Britain.» (Williams, 1968, p.162); « An uprising on Crete failed (1866). After the acquisition of Thessaly (1881), Macedonia became the object of dispute between Greece and Bulgaria. A 2nd uprising on Crete led to the 1897 Greco-Turkish War with Greek defeats in Thessaly. Nevertheless, Crete gained political autonomy under Turkish sovereignty because of the interference of the great powers [The medical help shall remake Cydron green]. The leader of Enosis, Venizelos (1864-1936), proclaimed the annexation of Crete in 1905. 1908 Formal union of Crete and Greece.» (
PenguinAtlas 2, p.81).

2° « Croatia [Ragusa], region of Yugoslavia, capital Zagreb (formerly called Agram). Although there was an independent Croatia in the tenth century, from 1102 to 1918 Croatia was joined to Hungary. In 1917 Croatian exiles signed with the Serbian Government the ‘Pact of Corfu’ providing for the establishment of a Yugoslav State after the war.» (Palmer, p.74).

3° Slovenia [the city of saint Jerome = Stridon]: « Yugoslavia. A movement for the union of the South Slav peoples, known originally as ‘Illyrianism’, began early in the nineteenth century but it was not until the First World War that a South Slav State (a ‘Yugoslavia’) became possible with the prospect of detaching Croatia, Slovenia and Bosnia-Herzegovina from Austria-Hungary and uniting them with Serbia and Montenegro. The Pact of Corfu, an agreement on the formation of a unitary kingdom under the Serbian dynasty, was signed on July 20th, 1917, and the ‘Kingdom of Serbs, Croats and Slovenes’ came into being officially on December 4th, 1918. King Alexander formally changed the name of the Kingdom to ‘Yugoslavia’ on October 3rd, 1929.» (Palmer, p.310).

4° « Bosnia-Herzegovina. Bosnia-Herzegovina was occupied by the Turks in the fifteenth century and, even today [in 1962], contains the largest group of Moslems in Europe outside Turkey. In the 1870s the provinces were moved by enthusiasm for union with their Serbian compatriots; in 1875 there was a serious uprising which was suppressed by the Turks with customary cruelty. At the Congress of Berlin of 1878 Austria-Hungary was given the right to occupy the provinces, although they remained part of the Turkish Empire. The Austrians developed Bosnia considerably, treating the provinces as if they were colonial possessions and reducing Turkish authority to a mere formality. The Young Turk movement made the Austrians fear that their control would be challenged, and in consequence they formally annexed the provinces in October 1908. The annexation precipitated the Bosnian Crisis since it was particularly resented by the Russians, who wanted compensation for increased Austrian power by concessions over the Straits. Although the menacing attitude of Austria’s ally, Germany, forced Russia to accept the annexation (March 1909), it left much international bitterness. Moreover, the Serbs living in Bosnia began a terrorist agitation against Austrian rule which culminated in the 1914 assassination in Sarajevo and so led to war. Between the wars the provinces formed part of the Kingdom of Yugoslavia.» (Palmer, p.36-37).

A king: = « Francis Joseph, Emperor of Austria (born 1830, reigned 1848-1916), succeeded to the throne on the abdication of his uncle, Ferdinand, during the revolution of 1848, crowned King of Hungary in 1867. Francis Joseph once described himself as ‘the last monarch of the old school’... his personal tragedy... His brother Maximilian, Emperor of Mexico, was executed (1867); his son Rudolf committed suicide at Mayerling (1889); his wife Elisabth was murdered by an anarchist at Geneva (1898); his nephew was assassinated at Sarajevo (1914). He reigned in full sovereignty for a longer period than any other European monarch and was succeeded by his great-nephew, Charles.» (Palmer, p.103-104).

Death of a son of a king
: «  Francis Joseph, Emperor of Austria... his son Rudolf committed suicide at Mayerling (1889).» (Palmer, p.104).

Heron [Héron]: « m. Z
OOL. Heron, hern.» (Dubois); « heron n. a large, long-legged bird that lives in marshy places. It lives on fish, frogs and insects.» (Dubois). Deux heron: = deux hérons (two herons), Nostradamus sometimes employing a singular form for a plural in favour of poetic simplicity with expressive essence: e.g., sept. fum extaint au canon des borneaux for sept. fums extaints aux canons des borneaux (§552, IX-14); bruit des cymbres, tubes & sonnaillons rendront... for bruits des cymbres, tubes & sonnaillons rendront... (§560, II-44); oyseaux dechassé,.. enemis repoulsé for oyseaux dechassés,.. enemis repoulsés (§567, II-23).

The expression ‘two herons’ is an Egyptian hieroglyphic symbol of ‘a burning anger of a man when he is injured by malice’ according to Orus Apollo compiled by Nostradamus in c.1545 (cf. Benazra, 1990, p.1-2; Dufresne, 1995, p.334; Clébert, 2003, p.1126; Guinard, 2015, p.58-59). This term in the quatrain connotes

1° the rage of a Bosnian Serb fanatic against the Austrian imperialistic annexation of the mainly Slavic provinces of Bosnia-Herzegovina in 1908,
2° that of the Austrian government against the terrorism, and perhaps
3° that of Archduke Ferdinand on bad terms with the Emperor and his antiquated régime because of his morganatical marriage.

The death of two herons: = 1914 assassination of Archduke of Austria and his wife in Sarajevo; « Francis Ferdinand, Archduke of Austria (1863-1914); nephew of Francis Joseph and heir to the Austrian throne from 1889. Francis Ferdinand was a man of strong character. In 1900 he morganatically married the Countess Sophie Chotek (a Czech); the insults and affronts to which his wife was exposed by the petty restrictions of antiquated etiquette made Francis Ferdinand hostile to the régime and he became on bad terms with his uncle, the Emperor. Speculation on the extent to which Francis Ferdinand would have been a reforming monarch is, however, vain; on June 28th, 1914, he was assassinated, with his wife, on a ceremonial visit to Sarajevo, by a Bosnian Serb fanatic, an event that precipitated the First World War.» (Palmer, p.103).

By the death of two herons, The Arabe Hungary shall make common cause:
The Serbian assassination of the Prince of Austria unlatched the Austrian declaration of war upon Serbia that led to the First World War on a large scale fought between the Allies (Britain, France, Russia and Serbia) and the Central Powers (Germany, Austria-Hungary and Bulgaria). Turkey [The Arabe] joined the latter: « Austria-Hungary declared war on Serbia on July 28th, 1914; Russia mobilized along the German and Austrian frontiers on July 29th; Germany declared war on Russia on August 1st and on France on August 3rd, invading Belgium on the same day. Germany and Austria-Hungary were joined by Turkey (November 1914) and Bulgaria (October 1915). The original Allies were supported by eighteen other states, the most important being Japan (August 1914), Italy (May 1915) and the U.S.A. (April 1917).» (Palmer, p.306).

Discussion:
As to the first hemistich of the quatrain, Fontbrune (1999, p.130-131), understanding the verb reverdir in its ancient sense of maltraiter (to maltreat, to ill-treat), gives the following interpretation without any comment on the text “la cité au saint Hieron”: « Crete (Cydonia) and Dubrovnik (Raguse) will maltreat the humanitarian aid (Doctors of the World, Doctors Without Borders, etc.)». But, the verb ‘reverdira’, being the singular of the third person, should suppose ‘the medical help’ as its subject. Then, his interpretation leads to the reverse of his hope: ‘The humanitarian aid (Doctors of the World, Doctors Without Borders, etc.) will maltreat Crete and Dubrovnik.’ 
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© Koji Nihei Daijyo, 2017. All rights reserved.

§738 A princely couple assassinated; the Great War unlatched (1914.6.28): IX-10.

IX-10 (§738):

A monk and a nun exposed to death by a child,
Shall die in Servo, bereft of their lives by a glassware.
Foix and Pamiers shall set up the camp
Against Toulouse and Carcassonne, dispersing cavalries.

(Moyne moynesse d'enfant mort exposé,
Mourir par ourse & ravy par verrier.
Par Fois & Pamyes le camp sera posé
Contre Tholose Carcas dresser forrier.
)

NOTES: Monk : « Moyne (Monk). – This word has the same root as the word monarque (monarch), μόνος (alone, solitary, only), and Nostradamus by the phrase: MOYNE MOYNESSE designates a monarch and his spouse.» (Torné-Chavigny, 1861, p.51). In fact, of 7 usages in all of the word moine, moyne or moynesse in the Prophecies of Nostradamus, only 3 (I-44, VI-60 and VI-73) are in a proper sense and 4 (I-95, IX-10bis and IX-20) are figuratif in the sense of ‘monarchical or princely’.

A monk and a nun: = deux heron (§737, X-63). Torné-Chavigny’s comment that in this quatrain « a monk and a nun designate a monarch and his spouse » is most probable because its second hemistich predicts a military confrontation of the antagonistic camps. And the situation of this royal couple that they are firstly imperiled by a child and secondly bereft of their lives leads us to the historical scene of a tragedy of the assassination of archduke of Austria Francis Ferdinand and his wife Sophie at Sarajevo (Serajévo) on June 28th, 1914, and in this context the ordinary term « ourse » (she-bear) may particularly suggest, as an anagrammatic enigma, « Serajévo (Sarajevo) » via « ourse » → « seruo » → « servo ».

Mort exposé
(Death exposed): = à mort exposé (to death exposed), the preposition à (to) being eliminated for the sake of prophetic tangling.
Cf. « Cueur, vigueur, gloire le regne changera.» (III-15, §323) ↔ « Le regne changera de cueur, de vigueur et de gloire.»; « son oncle, qui ses enfans par regner trucidez» (VIII-89, §324) ↔ « son oncle [= Louis XIV], pour qui ses enfans par regner [= ses dauphins] [seront] trucidez [par la maladie]»; « Quand Rod.& Gennes leur faudra le biscuit.» (II-3, §99) ↔ « Quand pour Rod. & Gennes [il] leur faudra le biscuit.»

Par ourse
: = par servo (at or in Servo [Serajévo]). 

Verrier: « adj. Glass. – m. Glass-blower, glass-maker; glass-basket (or) –rack (or) -stand» (Dubois). 

Par verrier
: = by car, verrier (glassware) representing in this case the windshield of glass of the princely vehicle (cf. The exhibits of the Museum of Military History (Heeresgeschichtliches Museum) in Vienna).

A monk and a nun exposed to death by a child, Shall die in Servo and bereft of their lives by a glassware
: « When the princely couple [A monk and a nun] passed the streets of Serajévo (Sarajevo) [in Servo] by car [by a glassware], a young Bosnian [a child] named Gabrinovitch (Cabrinovitch) [1895-1916], a typographer, threw at the car a bomb that did not attain its occupants [exposed to death], but injured some persons of the suite. Notwithstanding this warning, the Archduke continued his visit, while the police, reprimanded severly by him, did not take special precautions. A few moments later, a Bosnian student, Gavrilo Princip [1894-1918], fired at the Archduke and his wife two shots of revolver which caused their nearly immediate death [Shall die in Servo and bereft of their lives by a glassware].»
(Gauvain, 1922, p.2).

Forrier: = a dispersed cavalry. « forrier, s.m., fourrageur; fig., avant-coureur.» 
(Godefroy); « fourrageur n.m., Forager, dispersed cavalier.» (Suzuki).

Foix and Pamiers shall set up the camp Against Toulouse and Carcassonne, dispersing cavalries: If we are on the way to the truth, the confrontation of the camp of Foix and Pamiers against that of Toulouse and Carcassonne merely symbolizes the world-wide conflict called the Great War between the Allies (Ententes) and the Central Powers (Alliances) but locally germinated, the camp of Foix and Pamiers, sparsely populated regions, referring to the latter and that of Toulouse and Carcassonne, with large populations, to the former (cf. Middleton and Heater, 1989, Unit 6-3 Europe: Alliances and Ententes;
Ploetz, 1998, p.715); « World War I. The immediate cause of the War was the spread of nationalism in the Balkans, as shown by the assassination at Sarajevo and the determination of the Austrians to destroy the Serbian ‘hornets’ nest’ The reasons why this conflict could not be localized lie further back. Among them was the division of Europe into rival camps [the camp ... against ...] by a system of alliances, originally defensive in character but made dangerous through a lessening of international trust by successive crises – Morocco in 1905, Bosnia in 1908-9, Agadir in 1911. Anglo-German relations had worsened because of naval rivalry and, to a much lesser extent, trade competition.» (Palmer, p.305).

The list of populations of the cities quoted and the belligerent countries:
« Foix: 4,960; Pamiers: 6,245; Toulouse: 59, 630; Carcassonne: 15,752 (as of c.1830):» (MacCarthy). 
« Austria-Hungary: 50,000,000; Germany: 65,000,000; Turkey: 27,000,000; Bulgaria: 4,250,000; Serbia: 3,000,000; Russia: 170,000,000; France: 39,500,000; Britain: 45,000,000; Montenegro: 500,000; Italy: 34,500,000; Portugal: 5,500,000; Romania: 7,000,000; Greece: 3,000,000 (as of 1910).» (MacEvedy, 1982, p.43).
« Japan: 52,000,000; USA: 94,000,000; China: 325,000,000 (as of 1911)» (Williams, 1968, p.437).

Comparison of totals:
Foix + Pamiers = 11,205.
Toulouse + Carcassonne = 75,382.
75382/11205 = 6.7
The Central Powers (Austria-Hungary + Germany + Turkey + Bulgaria) = 146,250,000.
The Allies (Serbia + Russia + France + Britain + Montenegro + Italy + Portugal + Romania + Belgium + Greece + Japan + USA + China) = 779,000,000.
779000000/146250000 = 5.3

The analogical usage of place-names of this sort is seen also in the quatrain III-62 (§507) as to Tyrrene.
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© Koji Nihei Daijyo, 2017. All rights reserved.
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Koji Nihei Daijyo

Author:Koji Nihei Daijyo
We have covered 143 quatrains (§588-§730) concerning the World Events in the 19th century after Napoleonic ages [1821-1900] in the Prophecies of Nostradamus, and 218 in the 20th [1901-2000] (§731-§948).

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