§698

19th century:

§698 French intestine confrontation and the Paris Commune (1869-1871): V-82.

 

V-82:

Upon the concluded pact out of the fortress,

Shall not come he who is in despair:

When those of Arbois , of Langres against Bresse,

Shall take the mounts Dole, traps of enemies.

 

(Au conclud pache hors la forteresse,

Ne sortira celuy en desespoir mis:

Quant ceux d'Arbois, de Langres, contre Bresse,

Auront monts Dolle bouscade d'ennemis.)

 

NOTES: The interpretation of Fontbrune, father (1939, p.105) and son (1980, p.250), of Centurio (1953, p.125) and of Halley (1999, p.134), attributing this quatrain to the history of the defeat of the French Army of Bourbaki in 1871 with the Prussians, is not pertinent because the military configuration of the battle-field in 1871 does not match that of the quatrain stating that those of Arbois and of Langres shall take the mounts and Dole which are traps of their enemy in Bresse: which rather suggests some intestine confrontation in the district; for example, the city of Dole, above all, was left uncovered by the General in Dijon Garibaldi without being taken by the enemy because of its being off the immediate battle-field around Belfort (cf. Rich, II, p.490-491).

Conclud: = « conclu (the final “d” is justifiable by the Latin concludere).» (Clébert, 2003, p.659).

Pache: = « pacte (pact, contract), accord (agreement), convention (covenant).» (Godefroy).

Le conclud pache: = leurs paches (§696, VII-18): « It was on the 20th of February that M. Thiers presented himself at Versailles. Negotiation was out of the question; for, in his own words, he found himself  " face to face with an ultimatum;" arguments availed nothing, in the absence of power to enforce them. Some modifications of details were all that could be obtained, and the time that had been consumed in vain endeavours to soften the terms had brought the negotiators dangerously near the hour when the armistice terminated. On the 26th, no alternative remained but to sign the preliminaries, which included an extension of the armistice till the 12th of March, that the National Assembly might have time to confirm the work of their diplomatic representatives.» (Rich, II, p. 560).

The fortress: = The fortified city of Paris within which the Commune had its seat in 1871: « The author of the " Guerre des Communeux de Paris " observes that it is only by referring back to a very early historical period that we can find a parallel for the situation of Paris at this moment. About the year 250 of our era, three totally distinct powers, three armies, contended at Syracuse. Icetas of Leontium occupied the city proper, Dionysius held the citadel, and the Carthaginian fleet was anchored in the port. So at Paris, in the springtime of 1871, the Prussians held the eastern and northern forts, the legal Government was under the guns of Valerien, and the insurgents, besides being masters of the enceinte, occupied the forts on the south. The latter, " always audacious," says the same author, meditated an enterprise, the object of which it was easy to penetrate. It was known at Versailles that, firmly resolved to take the offensive, the Central Committee had made important preparations. It had disarmed the National Guards, who were suspected of attachment to the cause of order, reorganized the Francs-tireurs, organized twenty-five war battalions, twenty batteries of breech-loaders (7-pounders), and fifteen batteries of mitrailleuses. It had requisitioned horses, pillaged the magazines of war material, seized the manufactories, and made vast quantities of gunpowder, petroleum, gun-cotton, and nitro-glycerine. On the 30th of March the armaments of the Commune were completed, and its operations commenced. It was able to send into the field 70,000 National Guards, with eight days' provisions. On the 31st the movements of these troops commenced and during the 1st of April they were observed to be concentrating at various places on the north-west and the south of Paris. After having satisfied himself that nothing serious was to be apprehended from a demonstration made by the insurgents towards Châtillon, General Vinoy resolved to direct all his efforts upon the presqu’ile of Gennevilliers. The presence of a great number of bands had been signalled in that direction, who, after having taken and barricaded the bridge of Neuilly, deployed in Courbevoie and Puteaux, and even pushed their reconnaissance as far as Nanterre and Reuil.» (Rich, II, p.608-609).

« Vésinier says: " The forts were armed with pieces of artillery, and furnished with everything requisite for service in the way of personnel and ammunition. From the Barrière Fontainebleau to Bas-Meudon the different gates were each protected by four cannons levelled against the exterior of Paris. The outposts of the Commune extended from Vincennes to Mont Valérien. There was a corresponding cordon of the enemy on the other side of the Seine. Through the again budding woods, on the slopes at the entrance of the park, the eye encountered nothing but municipal guards and sergeants de ville. The marines and foot soldiers remained at Versailles; the cavalry were stationed both at Versailles and St. Germain. The Chasseurs d’Afrique and the Zouaves were likewise close to the Assembly, as also the Mobiles and volunteers, all but too well prepared to show no mercy to Paris." Vésinier himself states that " sorties and re-onnaissances went on day and night, and several battalions, organized as marching companies, were continually directed against divers points " — namely, against the army of Versailles. This being admitted, it is a little illogical that he should accuse the forces of the Assembly of being the first to attack. In the face of the sorties and reconnaissances of the Commune, the Government of Versailles, now ready to take the field, could not, with any show of reason, remain any longer inactive.» (Rich, II, p.609).

Out of the fortress, Shall not come he who is in despair: « While France and Prussia were negotiating the end of the Franco-Prussian war in 1871, angry Parisians had risen up over the surrender and established the radical Paris Commune. A council of citizens – including republicans, Jacobins, socialists, and anarchists – governed Paris for over two months [18 March to 28 May]. The retaliation of the National Assembly, which had relocated to Versailles, was swift. Troops were sent to Paris and 20,000 people were killed.» (DKHistory, p.314) = Inside shall be such a revolt, That the sufferers shall be in despair (§695, VI-34).

When those [Republicans and oppositionists] of Arbois, of Langres against Bresse [those for the Government], Shall take the mounts Dole, traps of enemies: These verses mark the preliminary political situation of France in 1869-1870 somehow leading to the insurrection of the Commune in 1871 against the Government: « The elections of 1869 and the relations toward the government concerning the campaign of the plebiscite allow to distinguish the political opinion of the different paties of France at the end of the Empire…  It is the region of the East that constitutes the solid force of the opposition. In the North, on the plateau of the Saône, in the countries, the Republican party has not been reorganized; but there remain in the cities, Gray, Vesoul, Luxeuil, Langres, Republicans who, united with the still influential Orleanists, have made elect two liberal oppositionists in Haute-Saône, one Republican of the open left in Langres. The mountain of Franche-Comté [the mounts], very Catholic [traps of enemies], in dispute between Montalembert and the government, has elected in 1869 an oppositionist Catholic. The Republican party, strongly constituted by the Protestant manufacturers of Montbéliart, the clockworkers of Besançon, the vine-growers and the proprietor-farmers of Jura (Ornans, Dole, Arbois) has made pass one deputy (among 2) in Doubs, two (among 3) in Jura [traps of enemies] and given a majority of No in Besançon. It is the old party of ’48, anticlerical and democratic after the Swiss fashion, represented by Grévy. The workers of the forest, in Saint-Claude and Morez, form the isolated Republican groups... La Bresse obeys to the government except the Republicans of Louhans, Bourg, Belley; the opposition is strong in the mountains, in Oyonnax, center of workers, in Nantua, where the influence of Baudin has passed to his brothers.» (Seignobos, 1921b, p.97-102).

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Author:Koji Nihei Daijyo
We have covered 143 quatrains (§588-§730) concerning the World Events in the 19th century after Napoleonic ages [1821-1900] in the Prophecies of Nostradamus, and 219 in the 20th [1901-2000] (§731-§949).

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